So how bad is coronavirus in U.S.? We don’t know yet

first_imgThis is part of our Coronavirus Update series, in which Harvard specialists in epidemiology, infectious disease, economics, politics, and other disciplines offer insights into what the latest developments in the COVID-19 outbreak may bring.The good news about epidemics is that they all eventually end, Harvard Chan School immunologist Barry Bloom said Monday evening. The bad news is, you have to move fast to contain them.“The world will not come to an end, but … speed is of the essence and in all the major epidemics I’m aware of in modern times, nobody acted quickly enough,” said Bloom, the Joan L. and Julius H. Jacobson Research Professor of Public Health and former Chan School dean.Bloom’s warning came amid a growing national outcry about the slow pace of testing for the new coronavirus. Harvard Chan School epidemiologist Marc Lipsitch said at an event earlier in the day that U.S. national testing has been “orders of magnitude lower” than that of a single Chinese province and is likely masking the true extent of the epidemic here, including the possibility — if undetected mild cases are widespread — that the virus is less deadly than now thought.U.S. cases have been rising rapidly in recent days. Several cases with no connection to international travel have raised concerns that the virus has been spreading for weeks in some communities. The official U.S. count on Tuesday stood at 108 cases in 12 states and six deaths, according to the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. An additional three deaths were reported Tuesday afternoon by the Washington state Department of Health, bringing the overall total in the nation to nine. New cases have been detected in several states, including Rhode Island, New Hampshire, and New York.Globally, the World Health Organization is reporting 90, 870 confirmed cases, with 3,112 deaths.Bloom and Lipsitch spoke at a Monday evening panel discussion on COVID-19, the illness caused by the new virus, sponsored by the Harvard Chan School’s China Health Partnership and moderated by the partnership’s head, Winnie Yip, professor of the practice of international health policy and economics. It was the second discussion at the School on the topic Monday — experts, including Lipsitch had gathered at the Forum at the Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health for a lunchtime webcast discussion of COVID-19’s spread.,Separately, almost 80 biomedical researchers from around the Boston area gathered at Harvard Medical School to meet Chinese collaborators via video conference and discuss research priorities for the newly-announced partnership with the Guangzhou Institute for Respiratory Health. The $115 million, five-year effort seeks to pair the Boston region’s biomedical expertise with the knowledge and experience of Chinese biomedical researchers. Participants worked to set research priorities including the virus’ epidemiology, pathology, diagnostics, therapeutics, vaccines, and best practices in managing the illness.At the afternoon forum event, Lipsitch said a key next step in the U.S. is expanding testing for the contagion. That will help to understand the true extent of the virus’ spread and its true nature. He compared the epidemic to an iceberg, with the most severe cases — those who have died or sought medical care or been tested — at the iceberg’s tip. Scientists now need to better understand the unseen, underwater portion — a potentially large number of mild and moderate cases, though with some severe ones and deaths attributed to other causes as well — to better grasp both how easily it spreads and how deadly it is.The U.S. government has announced a dramatic expansion of testing, but Lipsitch said it would likely take weeks to put in place.“[The pace of testing’s] still low, and it will take weeks until we have anything like adequate testing capacity,” said Lipsitch, professor epidemiology and head of the School’s Center for Communicable Disease Dynamics.,If the unseen reservoir of those infected by the virus who’ve recovered on their own is larger than expected, it could reshape scientists’ understanding of the disease as one less deadly than the currently estimated 2 percent death rate. Chinese researchers, Lipsitch said, are now conducting serological studies — searching for antibodies to the virus in blood samples of the general population — to answer that question.With a vaccine against the contagion likely over a year away, basic public health and social-distancing strategies — washing hands regularly, staying home from work when sick, closing schools, reducing travel to and from stricken areas — can work, as evidenced by the steady decline in cases in China, which reported just 125 new cases on Tuesday morning. Bloom said evidence also exists that such steps were effective during the 1918 flu pandemic, which killed tens of millions around the world.Data from that pandemic, however, also shows the tricky decision to be made in scaling back those interventions in order to restart the economy, get kids back to school and people to work, he said. Do it too soon, he said, and the epidemic can resurge.“There’s a big decision in China and Hong Kong, and it will be a big decision in the U.S., and it’s to what extent do you put in social interventions and, more complicated, is when do you take them back?” Bloom said.The goal of such steps, Lipsitch said, is to flatten the infection curve, which lowers numbers at the epidemic’s peak and spreads them out over a longer time. Eventually, enough people will have been infected that rising immunity in the population slows the epidemic. When successful, fewer people are infected overall, but also significant is that fewer are infected at once, making it easier for health facilities to keep up. More are infected later in the epidemic’s course, when experience and new tools likely makes treatment more successful.“If you have a choice of getting infected today or six months from now, you’d want to wait,” Lipsitch said. Attempts to contain cases in China have proved ineffective A big coronavirus mystery: What about the children? Related Chan School’s Lipsitch says that and other key questions remain over China’s status, how bad the outbreak eventually will be in the U.S. and elsewhere, and most effective countermeasures Groups will share $115M to search for better diagnosis, treatment; Medical School to serve as U.S. research hub Health officials expect coronavirus to spread worldwide The Daily Gazette Sign up for daily emails to get the latest Harvard news. Scientists from Harvard, China to unite against coronaviruslast_img read more

Stanley Cup Final 2019: Former NHLer Ville Nieminen talks winning the Cup, Game 6 and more

first_imgYou have to live in the moment. Enjoy the moment and play shift-by-shift and period-by-period. That’s their mental toolbox.And then Bruins’ toolbox is to get inside, get inside first, win the self-battle, ruin the party and take whatever it takes as long as it takes. And those are the keys. And then if you think about a tactic, Bruins need to win battles, Bruins need to box in. It’s going to be pucks out versus pucks in and defensive awareness and where the puck possession is going to start.It depends on how the Bruins are going to use all their stop plays, all the neutral zone free pucks. What their forwards going to do with the puck for their D so they can get their line rush going. If they can’t get their line rush game going then they have to battle all the time and they are not going to win. ST. LOUIS — Over the course of eight NHL seasons, Ville Nieminen got the chance to experience two Stanley Cup Finals. In 2001, the left wing was a member of the Cup champion Colorado Avalanche who needed to win Game 6 — like the Boston Bruins. Three years later with the Calgary Flames, Nieminen’s team led 3-2 before losing to the Tampa Bay Lightning in seven games. Sporting News spoke with the former NHLer and current Lahti Pelicans (Liiga) head coach and Finnish broadcaster prior to Game 6. MORE: Blues fans are ready for a St. Louis Stanley Cup titleSN: What was the atmosphere like in the locker room leading up to the game in 2001 and how does it connect to the Blues in Game 6?Ville Nieminen: In 2001, the situation was not the same [because it was a Game 7] but at the same time, the Blues know that. They have to do it now. They’ve been coming since January 3, being last in the league and they have nothing [to do] but to win until today.Now they have something to lose and I don’t know how they are going to handle that. But at the same time… they have only one game they are playing and that’s their strength. So they have to rely on their mental philosophy for that one gameplan and change nothing.Let’s make history. #WeAllBleedBlue pic.twitter.com/TX73oFrCwb— St. Louis Blues (@StLouisBlues) June 9, 2019It’s going to help them that they saw that third game at home, how everything went wrong; but they have closed out the series-clinching games 3-0 at home so those are the good experiences. But the biggest factor right now is that they having nothing but to win but right now. Are you eager and have the will to win or the fear to lose? Do you play for a win or not to lose?SN: Game 3 vs. Game 4 were different atmospheres at Enterprise Center. Tonight should be like Game 3. How do they not get enveloped in that?VN: There’s lot of different type of players that in Game 3, the atmosphere and the mental side, the hockey romantic [i.e. the crowd, the loudness, the winning in front of the hometown fans] was so strong that it went wrong for the players. Players cannot be romanticizing the hockey. Only the people in the stands can.Players have to be all business and when you are all business it’s going to really help in the playoffs. You need more hockey romanticizing in the regular season but not in the playoffs because the atmosphere is already so high and so strong. I feel like they the players made the mistake in Game 3 that they went to that [to romanticizing].So Game 4 all business; Game 5 all business. Plus, when they play that hitting game, hitting game needs to be played all business without feeling because . . . if you are on the physical side and hitting it’s all business; if you add to that too much emotion to your hitting game you’re going to the penalty box.Alex Pietrangelo: “We know what Sunday is, but the group is calm and we’ve done a really good job of refocusing after games. I don’t really get a feel from anybody that the emotions are too high right now.” #stlblues— St. Louis Blues (@StLouisBlues) June 7, 2019SN: Jay Bouwmeester has played a long time in the NHL without seeing a final, let alone a Cup. In 2001, it was Ray Bourque who was looking to finally win. What was it like witnessing Bourque in Game 6?VN: In Colorado, we were in a situation like the Bruins are in right now and Ray had a three-minute pep talk before our game. Our team got pumped up and it relieved the pressure and at the same time, we were really pumped and focused. He said that they are trying to win this game in the first period so we need to be really good in the first period and then it’s going to be little-by-little, shift-by-shift, it’s going to our advantage. So that’s how we survived in the Meadowlands Game 6 [against New Jersey Devils]. SN: It had to help that you had players like Joe Sakic, Patrick Roy and Peter Forsberg who won the Cup in 1996? The Blues do not have that experience.VN: Yes. Everybody is trying to win it for themselves but if there are some other things on top of that, if there is a storied player like Ray Bourque it is very influential for the team. That’s going to set your own will because you want the guy who hasn’t been able to be in this situation before and now it’s his chance and his last year, it’s going to generate the energy, generate the focus, accelerates everything. How you have to be at my best. I wanted to win for myself but I wanted to be at my best for that guy and in 2004 they had Dave Andreychuk and they had the same story.STANLEY CUP FINAL: Watch Game 6 live with fuboTV (7-day free trial)SN: Expectations for tonight?VN: I don’t know. Both teams need mental toolbox and what comes from there. Blues, all basics, shift-by-shift, period-by-period. Live the moment, play the moment. Everything else is going to take care of itself when it’s all said and done. You don’t have to worry about it. You don’t have to worry about how you’re going to lift [the Cup], who I’m going to wave to, what kind of party [it will be], am I going to drink first from the bowl? Everything else is going to be taken care of.last_img read more

WHS Daily Bulletin: Information on school clay target team is Thursday

first_img Close Forgot password? Please put in your email: Send me my password! Close message Login This blog post All blog posts Subscribe to this blog post’s comments through… RSS Feed Subscribe via email Subscribe Subscribe to this blog’s comments through… RSS Feed Subscribe via email Subscribe Follow the discussion Comments Logging you in… Close Login to IntenseDebate Or create an account Username or Email: Password: Forgot login? Cancel Login Close WordPress.com Username or Email: Password: Lost your password? Cancel Login Dashboard | Edit profile | Logout Logged in as Admin Options Disable comments for this page Save Settings You are about to flag this comment as being inappropriate. Please explain why you are flagging this comment in the text box below and submit your report. The blog admin will be notified. Thank you for your input. There are no comments posted yet. Be the first one! Post a new comment Enter text right here! Comment as a Guest, or login: Login to IntenseDebate Login to WordPress.com Login to Twitter Go back Tweet this comment Connected as (Logout) Email (optional) Not displayed publicly. Name Email Website (optional) Displayed next to your comments. Not displayed publicly. If you have a website, link to it here. Posting anonymously. Tweet this comment Submit Comment Subscribe to None Replies All new comments Comments by IntenseDebate Enter text right here! Reply as a Guest, or login: Login to IntenseDebate Login to WordPress.com Login to Twitter Go back Tweet this comment Connected as (Logout) Email (optional) Not displayed publicly. Name Email Website (optional) Displayed next to your comments. Not displayed publicly. If you have a website, link to it here. Posting anonymously. Tweet this comment Cancel Submit Comment Subscribe to None Replies All new comments Submitted to Sumner Newscow — Today’s Wellington High School bulletin for Wednesday, Nov. 13, 2015:Nothing scheduled for this week.Today’s Lunch — Hamburger with Bun, Romaine and Tomato, Oven Fries, Mixed Fruit, Chocolate Chip Cookie and Milk.Monday’s Lunch — Thanksgiving Dinner: Chicken and Dressing, Mashed Potatoes with Gravy, Green Beans, Hot Roll, Pumpkin Dessert, Yummy Yams and Milk.Today’s News:*Attention Wellington High students! Do you enjoy photography?  Are you a great photographer?  A photography contest is taking place now!  The subject of your photographs can be anything that screams Wellington. Photos must be taken by you this semester.  File size must be at least 16 x 20 inches and cannot be taken with a camera phone.  Winners photos will be printed and used to decorate USD 353 central offices.  Deadline is Dec 20!  There will be cash prizes! Please submit digital files to Mrs. Groom.*There will be a short informational meeting for students interested in being on the New Wellington High School Shooting Sports Team after school at 3:15 on Thursday November 19, 2015 in the auditorium. This will be an interest and information meeting.  If you cannot attend there will be another meeting in early December for students and parents to attend.*If you’re still planning on taking the CNA class in the Spring, you will be getting a CAPPS form from Mrs. Hatfield. Please fill out the form and enroll in the CNA class online at cowley.edu. After you enroll online, drop your CAPPS form off in the counselor’s office.*SUP Crusaders! Starting this week, in light of Bill Cordes’ talk on School Unity we are doing a 5-day challenge.  On the school unity bulletin board in the commons, there will be a list of all the challenges.  When you complete a challenge, put a small tally mark under the challenge on the sheet of paper.  Complete as many as you can over the course of the week.  There will be sticky notes at the bottom to leave any comments you may have about your experience.  Also, upload your pictures and comments to any social media with the hashtag #SUPCrusaders or #SUPWHSBillCordes*Interested in joining Color Guard??  There will be an informational meeting tomorrow in room 112 before school at 7:30 and another one after school at 3:15.  If you are interested in being a part of something great, please attend one of these two meetings.  If you have any questions or are unable to attend, please see Ms. Vaughn.*NHS is hosting the winter formal dance on December 4th- 8:30 pm to 11pm. Admission is $5 , or you can bring 5 non perishable items.Fun Fact of the Day:Only male turkeys, or toms, gobble. Females called hens cackle.Follow us on Twitter.last_img read more

Florida COVID Tests are Surging, Deaths are not

first_imgThe surge in positive test results for coronavirus cases  is surging as nearly one out of every 100 Americans has tested positive for Covid-19.However, at least in Florida, the death rate is no where near that of New York or California.Twelve deaths were announced in Palm Beach County and seven in Miami-Dade County from COVID-19 Statewide, 45 deaths were announced yesterday.Florida reported more than 15-thousand positive test cases,  pushing its total to just under 270-thousand cases since the outbreak began.  That was just one day after Walt Disney World in Orlando opened to the public Saturday for the first time in nearly four months.Despite the increase in testing and positive results, Florida has just over 4000 deaths total compared with New York’s 32,000, eight times Florida’s death toll.See death stats here:New York 32,029California 7,042Florida 4,241Texas 8,196New Jersey 15,525Many South Florida school districts will announce Wednesday whether they will allow students to return to class or if they must continue to learn on line at home.last_img read more

TCTV Opens High Definition Studio

first_imgFacebook51Tweet0Pin0 Submitted by Thurston Community TelevisionThurston Community Television (TCTV) has spent the past six months renovating and upgrading the community media center it operates in Thurston County.  A state-of-the-art High Definition television studio is now available for use by community members to make video programs that are aired on the TCTV channels and shared through the Internet.   The new facility will be unveiled to the community during an open house on Saturday, September 27, from 1:00 p.m. to 5:00 p.m.“We’re very excited about the opportunities this new facility offers,“ says Deborah Vinsel, TCTV CEO.   “Our community can now create beautiful high definition video programs in our studio.  The graphics (titles and credits) are beautiful.   We can stream programming from the studio directly onto the Internet and import media from web services (like SKYPE) to include participants from other places.  It’s an exceptional facility and it’s available to anyone who wants to become a member and take our classes. “The TCTV studio is located at 440 Yauger Way SW, Suite C, Olympia, in the same building as Comcast Cable on Olympia’s west side.   There are lots of hands-on activities planned for the September 27 Open House.  Attendees can take a tour, make an animation, shoot a video message, or record a voice-over to name a few.  There will also be refreshments and door prizes.  At 3:00 PM there will be a brief program in the studio to officially re-dedicate the facility.TCTV has been managing the public, educational, and governmental cable access channels and production facilities since 1986.   The resources are made possible through service contracts between TCTV and Olympia, Lacey, Tumwater and Thurston County.   TCTV services include video production training classes, studio and editing facilities, and portable equipment that can be checked-out by TCTV members.  Membership is open to any individual, nonprofit organization, government agency or school.   Members have access to low-cost classes and can gain unlimited access to the equipment and facilities by paying a small annual fee.Programming created through the TCTV facilities is seen on four local cable channels on the Comcast Cable system in greater Thurston County and on three channels on Fairpoint Cable system serving the area around Yelm.    More than 20,000 hours of programming is scheduled by TCTV on these channels each year.  Programming is also available through the TCTV website, www.tctv.net.TCTV is a 501c3 nonprofit organization.last_img read more